The
first attempt post depression to regulate banks came from
the liability side. If there was a cap on the maximum
rate a bank could pay to its depositors there was no longer
an incentive for it to invest in increasingly risky assets.
As long as an investment earned a reasonable spread over
the cost of bank funds, a bank would stick to safer products
and solutions. The culprit, in the thinking of that time,
was rate-based competition for deposits - leading to increasingly
risky behavior on part of banks. If you could control
cost of deposits, you could control rate based competition
and control risky behavior. The thinking stayed in vogue
for more than 50 years after it first came into being
as Regulation Q . A part of the Banking Act, 1933 that
authorized the Federal Reserve to impose ceilings on the
interest rates paid on time and savings deposits by member
banks.
It
was in the high inflation, high yield 80’s that
this thinking was first challenged by emerging non-banking
deposit products. Why earn a miserly two to four percent
before taxes when your money market account could easily
credit three to five times that amount. Challenged by
non banking sector products that changed the dynamics
of the deposit market, banks could no longer compete as
long as they were held back by regulation Q. One side
effect was non price competition for deposits including
over supply of branches, automated teller machines, additional
banking hours, free toasters, subsidized cash and exchange
management services . The other more well known side effect
was the growth and development of the offshore Euro Dollar
market.
The time was now ripe for a more risk sensitive regulatory
standard.
Banking
Act of 1933. Regulation Q or Reg Q for short was extended
to all FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) insurance
banks by 1935.
Basel I & Amendments to the Capital Accord
Basel I marked the shift toward linking capital with risk
taking behavior when it introduced minimum capital requirements
dependent on the risk profile of a bank’s credit
portfolio. Introduced in 1988 as the Basel I Capital
Accord or BIS 88, the regulatory framework took
the first step towards supporting risk based pricing and
creating a level playing field as far as capital was concerned
in member countries.
Once
the Capital Accord was rolled out, it became evident that
credit was not the only source of risk on the balance
sheet of a bank. Proprietary trading profits represented
another source of volatility that banks could use to exploit
risk-based gaps in the Capital Accord and sidestep the
intent of the regulatory framework. Amendments to the
Capital Accord followed in 1996 and became the basis for
BIS 98. The revised standard now provided
for calculation of market risk capital based on the profile
of the trading book and a total capital adequacy ratio
that factored both credit and price risk.
Contemporary
Financial Intermediation, Greenbaum, Thakor, Dryden Press,
1995.
Basel II
The Basel I accord had a number of well-documented shortcomings.
It ignored portfolio effects across a large well diversified
banking book, it ignored relative credit worthiness between
and across corporate and OECD borrowers, created a regulatory
loop hole supporting 364 day revolving facilities with
no capital charge, did not allow for netting or provide
any incentives for credit risk mitigation .
These
problems led to suggestions that the banking industry
be allowed to develop their own internal model to calculate
the minimum capital requirements. This would serve as
the credit risk equivalent of the BIS 98 standard for
market risk capital requirements and allow well-diversified
banks to report numbers that were more reflective of the
risks carried on their balance sheets.
The
Basel II Accord addressed some of these concerns, introduced
the concept of operational risk capital and provided capital
requirements for new products that were previously not
handled in the original capital accord. It took what is
now regarded as the third and final step towards capital
requirements that were reflective of credit, market and
operational risk.
Risk
Management, Michel Crouhy et.all, McGraw Hill, 2001.
Thoughts going forward
In a world where capital is neither free nor abundant,
the new paradigm is risk based pricing. For some of us
here, this is a little outside of our comfort zone. With
the implementation of Basel II and the removal of traditional
barriers to doing business across geographic boundaries,
we as bankers need to think more carefully about the capital
impact of our choices. This cannot be done till we include
and accept risk capital based resource allocation in our
mindset, our pricing, our decision-making and our regulatory
reporting processes. This will introduce a significant
new cost component in our pricing - both in terms of contributed
capital costs as well as in terms of investments in technology,
infrastructure, process improvement and change management.
If we haven’t thought about this so far, willingly,
the Basel II implementation deadlines will make us do
so in the next few months. Those of us who do well in
accepting and implementing these new frameworks will succeed
as institutions and bankers. Those of us who don’t
will face many difficult challenges in the years to come.